Well I’ve drawn the short straw and am first up! At least it can only get better! The first race for us is a Class 2 contest with a big pot for the winner. This marks a step up in class for a fair few of the field. The exceptions who have run in higher graded races are Ahla Wasahl and Kissing The Camera. The former was placed in the Cherry Hinton Stakes (G2) over 6f but didn’t seem to get the trip over 7f in the Sweet Solera Stakes (G3). Ahead of her that day was Kissing The Camera who found trouble in running. The form of that race has been boosted not just by Rainbow View (who we all know about) but also Minor Vamp who won the Goff’s Fillies Million last weekend. The ground shouldn’t be an issue to Kissing The Camera with a victory on Good to Firm earlier in the season. No ground issues either for My Superstar (who is the forecasted favourite at time of writing). The Stoute/Moore combination has a very good chance having scored over the distance on this ground. Others of interest are Oasis Sunset, who ran 4th in a race won by Arazan earlier this season, and Vitoria. Oasis Sunset may want further than the 7f here but connections must think she has a chance to send her over from Ireland to take back some prize money. Vitoria, having won over the distance and on the ground too, should be in the mix. Due to this I’d take Vitoria to edge out Oasis Sunset as a danger - VE.
Selection: Kissing The Camera
Danger 1: My Superstar
Danger 2: Vitoria
Redcar 2.25 Boddingtons Redcar Straight-Mile Championship Final (Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)
It’s the first of the two big field handicaps in this week’s Scoop 6, this one is the straight mile class 2 handicap at Redcar. It is the draw that plays a massive influence in this race, those drawn low are at a massive disadvantage. Ezdeyaad is the likely market leader, coming into this race in fine form he is likely to be well supported in the market. He is off a higher mark than when just tipped off last time out and is overlooked. Those drawn high include Efidium, Crocodile Bay and King Fingal and cases can be made for all three, the course, distance and ground should hold no concerns for all three. However the selection is going to be the old timer Middlemarch who relishes these conditions, having won over the course and distance last time out. The main dangers look to be Moheeb and Exit Smiling, the former has got some good runs in the formbook and is likely to show more progression whilst Exit Smiling is a horse with course, distance and ground form - JB.
Selection: Middlemarch
Danger 1: Moheeb
Danger 2: Exit Smiling
Newmarket 2.45 Tattersalls Timeform Million (Class 2) (2yo)
Don't get me started on the prize money available for this Class 2 race! However that has attracted some quality horses none more so than the likely favourite Sri Putra. This unbeaten colt has a G3 victory under his belt already in the race that Raven's Pass (Champion Miler Elect?) won last year, he has held a few of these (notably Prince Seigfried and Cry of Freedom) in the past. Liberation is the main threat, smashing the majority of the field last time out by 10L. Spencer's mount, Nasri is certain to enjoy the step up in trip and on times deserves his place here but in my opinion will find a couple too good. Richard Hannon saddles Sohcahtoa who has found the mile a bit too far and drops back in trip here, a good indication will be the performance of Snoqualmie Girl on Friday but against less exposed rivals I think will struggle. Weald Park is the final piece of this huge jigsaw and should have won last time out in a weak G2, Richard Hughes should have learnt his lesson from this and is proven on the likely firmer ground which is more than can be said for many of these - AR.
Selection: Weald Park
Danger 1: Sri Putra
Danger 2: Liberation
Redcar 3.00 totescoop6 Two-Year-Old Trophy (Listed Race) (Class 1) (2yo)
Only a fifth of the prize money available at the less glamorous Redcar 2yo showpiece but another hugely competitive race. Total Gallery is the highest rated here but has yet to win over this distance and if you don't get the trip then you are going to be found wanting in a big field, Zuzu is bidding for the hat-trick but makes a big step up in class (albeit deservedly so) she has shown signs of greeness under pressure and when tiring if she battles on should do well. Brae Hill (the Sporting Life selection) needs to improve to win but won his far side battle last time out in tough conditions. I'm not sure that is going to be enough though. Caranbola should again be out of her league here but she gets a big weight tow and coul be in the mix for the lower place. Viva Ronaldo was held by Brae Hill in the testing 6 1/2f race last time out at Doncaster and again gives her 6lbs but the sounder surface will suit and the gap will not be as wide this time around. I've toyed with the idea of selecting Khor Dubai, Godolphin have had a small renaissance with their sprinters as the season draws on but I simply don't think the horse is good enough. The selection is Frognal who beat Damien in the St Leger Yearling Stakes. The latter has gone on to beat Khor Dubai, Brae Hill and Viva Ronaldo. Tom Queally has not ridden him before but I rate him highly and the sound surface is a big plus - AR.
Selection: Frognal
Danger 1: Brae Hill
Danger 2: Viva Ronaldo
Newmarket 3.15 Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+)
Group 1 action and some top quality mares and fillies taking part. The market leader is Darjina who has been unfortunate not get her head in front this season. It’s actually over a year since she was in the winners enclosure although she has taken on the colts over that time and been very unlucky. Fast ground should suit and the mile is pefect. The main challenger will be Halfway To Heaven. This seasons Irish 1000 Guinea’s and Nassau Stakes heroine will be looking to put her 3rd place finish to Lush Lashes last time out behind her. She will be getting a weight allowance from the older mares in the race and on ground she loves she will reverse the form with Nahoodh who split Lush Lashes and Halfway To Heaven in the Matron Stakes. The going will put pay to Listen and Nahoodh’s chances. Cheveley Park run 2 with Heaven Sent and Spacious. Group 1’s are probably a step too far for Heaven Sent. Spacious is one I like. She found only Natagora too good in the Guinea’s over course and distance on ground the same as is predicted for the race. Didn’t beat much on her return from a break last time out but will hopefully have come on for the run. It should be a fascinating race and there won’t be much in it at the finish - VE.
Selection: Darjina
Danger 1: Halfway To Heaven
Danger 2: Spacious
Newmarket 3.50 totesport.com Cambridgeshire (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3yo+)
The biggest handicap of the day is the last race in the Scoop6 and it contains some very nicely handicapped horses. Premio Loco, Yaddree, Siberian Tiger, Indian Days and Zero Tolerance are all due to go further up the handicap after this race. Premio Loco is the horse who is due to go up the most, with a 6lbs rise in the offing, which makes him an excellent proposition in this race. However his worst form has come on this track and his recent performances have been on the all weather, and for this reason he should be taken on. Yaddree is 5lbs ahead of the handicap and has course and distance form, and for this reason is put forward as the selection. Siberian Tiger is a distance and ground winner whilst Indian Days is untested over the trip but will relish the ground conditions. Zero Tolerance has course form but is 0 from 3 over the trip. The main dangers to the selection could come from Swop of Luca Cumani who looks like an improving sort whilst my antepost selection Little White Lie looks set to run a big race - JB.
Selection – Yaddree
Danger 1 – Swop
Danger 2 – Little White Lie
- Kissing The Camera
- Middlemarch
- Weald Park
- Frognal
- Darjina
- Yaddree
1 comment:
gotta be worth mixing them up and selecting own preference of the 3. might have a go myself on scoop 6, and mix and match. kevan
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