Friday, 31 October 2008

1st November

Ascot 1.35 "BET LIVE" @WILLIAMHILL.CO.UK HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

The first race in the Scoop 6 is a 16 runner handicap, which has 4 last time out winners. The pick of these probably is Font, a Paul Nicholls horse ridden by AP Mccoy it’s the thing of dreams. Font is up 13lbs for his demolition of a Novice Handicap Hurdle field at Cheltenham, however he did that very easily and could have won by any amount, Ruby that day only shook the reins at him when close home. That form alone gives him leading chances in this field, add to that the pairing of trainer and jockey and I think he has to be a selection. The dangers will probably come from low down in the handicap, Leamington Lad won nicely at Cheltenham when putting a large field away in convincing style and looks set to run his race. Laredo Sound was a classy novice last season, and the Mann yard are in good form so any market support would be worth a second glance. Whilst at the top of the handicap is The Polomoche and Blue Bajan who both had very nice wins last time out, they look to be too heavily weighted in this field. The final danger could be I Have Dreamed who was a nice sort last season and still looks nicely weighted - JB.

Selection: Font
Danger 1: I Have Dreamed
Danger 2: Laredo Sound

Ascot 2.05 UNITED HOUSE GOLD CUP HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

Air Force One reappears for the season and is the youngster of the field. Still improving he is chosen as the selection. Should there be an upset it is likely to come from Gungadu, C&D winner with the imperious McCoy taken to get him round. Alternatively the best fresh Roll Along and carries the least weight off the main contenders. Madison Du Berlais is also on the shortlist with Fier Normand however both lack the required class and Air Force One is chosen as the selection - AR.

Selection: Air Force One
Danger 1: Gungadu
Danger 2: Roll Along

Newmarket 2:10 BET365.COM EBF MONTROSE FILLIES' STAKES (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (2yo)

Henry Cecil won this race 2 years ago with Passage Of Time and he saddles another Khalid Abdullah runner here in the form of Midday. A course and distance winner but in nothing like this class of race, she should get the trip again but has never raced on less than good ground. Godolphin run Burgundy Ice who is a half sister to Bernardini, who has only raced once. That win came on soft ground at 7f so a step up in class and trip shouldn’t hinder her. Godolphin seem a better prospect than earlier in the season. Could be in the frame. Conditions should suit Rosy Mantle who has been Listed placed this season. She stayed on well in soft ground in her last race which looks good for the extra furlong being faced here. Super Sleuth has run in higher company but found a few too good so a slight drop in class from last time will help. All her runs have come on good ground or better so softer conditions are an unknown. Enticement, in the Royal silks, won on debut over the mile in soft ground at Nottingham. That race was only class 5 so will have to show marked improvement here - VE.

Selection: Rosy Mantle
Danger 1: Super Sleuth
Danger 2: Burgundy Ice

Wetherby 3.00 JOHN SMITH'S HURDLE (REGISTERED AS THE WEST YORKSHIRE HURDLE) GRADE 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+)

Nigel Twiston Davies has come out firing again this season and Pettifour therefore has to be respected. You can't say the same for the Pipe horse, Lough Derg. The talent is there but will improve for the run. Mobaasher is the Nicholls runner as is reported to be well after a breathing operation at home. You never can tell though and it could be a risky proposition, like Lough Derg, he is probably best watched. Liberate and Faasel are the other two main contenders but I side with Pettifour and Twiston Davis to continue his fine run of form - AR.

Selection: Pettifour
Danger 1: Mobaasher
Danger 2: Lough Derg

Newmarket 3:20 BET365 BEST ODDS GUARANTEED ON EVERY RACE HANDICAP (CLASS 2) (3yo+,0-100)

18 runners are entered for this 1 mile handicap at Newmarket and leading the weights is Godolphin’s Gold Sovereign who is entitled to be short in the market. His handicap form is rock solid and a wide draw should do him no harm, however the weight he is carrying makes the job a difficult one. Lower in the weights we have Oat Cuisine who has David Probert claiming a useful 5lbs, she has good handicap form and is likely to relish a return to course and distance. Others that are of interest include the twice raced Lease Of Life who comes here on handicap debut off a mark I think is on the high side. Henry Cecil sends Aromatheraphy who has good speed figures and is open to more improvement. Flipando is another interesting runner but may struggle in this big field. The selection however ran a good race despite not getting the breaks just 7 days ago, Vital Statistics. She has only raced over the trip once, and ran very creditably in the Guineas that time. She has been staying on well recently over 6 and 7 furlongs and is very nicely weighted - JB.

Selection: Vital Statistics
Danger 1: Oat Cuisine
Danger 2: Gold Sovereign

Newmarket 3:55 BET365 BEN MARSHALL STAKES (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (3yo+)

Another Listed contest here see’s a few familiar faces from this season lining up. Bankable is out to end a run of 5 second place finishes. The drop in trip to a mile won’t be any trouble as he has put in some of his better performances over that distance. He has had a long hard season and the effects catching up with him would be my biggest concern. Cat Junior ran a cracker 2 weeks ago in a Group 2 race. That was at 7f and seemed optimum so the extra furlong on this ground would be a worry. Godolphin are 3 handed here with Alexandros the preferred one on jockey bookings. Won over a mile last time and has raced in the highest company so this Listed race should hold no fear. Frankie is flying so in with a live chance. The other 2 Godolphin runners are suspect. Calming Influence looks like he doesn’t get the trip while Dijeerr went through a spell of not wanting to win. His last run was terrible. Virtual won a Listed contest last time out over 1m1f. The ground will be ideal for him and has won over a mile in the past. John Gosden is fresh from his Breeders’ Cup exploits and should have another in with a chance here - VE.

Selection: Bankable
Danger 1: Virtual
Danger 2: Alexandros

Selections:

  1. Font
  2. Air Force One
  3. Rosy Mantle
  4. Pettifour
  5. Vital Statistics
  6. Bankable

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