Friday, 30 January 2009

31st January

Wetherby 2:20 TOTESCOOP6 RECORD ROLLOVER HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+,0-150) 2m4f110y

We kick off this week with a 9 runner handicap chase in what could be testing conditions. There are 8 of the 9 who have won over this trip and of those, 5 have victories around Wetherby to their name. Top weight is The Whisperer who is making his first run of the year. His 2 wins have come on Good ground and over longer than this trip. Ellerslie George has won his last 2 starts at Wetherby. Sandwiched in between was a run in the Becher Chase where the trip appeared too far. Back again to 20f, he goes on any ground and would be a big chance. The slight dip in the form of Howard Johnson’s string would be my only concern. First Look raced last week and was pulled up. This is his first run at the track having been campaigned mainly at Ayr. His run two starts ago when finishing 11 lengths 6th to Akilak looks decent form given that ones recent Cheltenham performance. The worry remains the PU last time. One place in front of First Look in the Akilak race was Edmo Yewkay. He receives more weight from First Look than that day and loves the ground heavy. Conditions could be in his favour here. Saunders Road won at Cheltenham 2 starts ago under big weight. Last time out in this company he was 4th, but well beaten over a similar trip at Ascot. His jockey takes of a useful 7lbs which will help his cause. Corlande is a decent performer in lesser class. Has been found wanting each time he’s stepped up to this class and the same will happen again. Daldini has ran 4th in this class over shorter distances. There are others with more appeal who have already been mentioned. – VE

Selection: Ellerslie George
Danger 1: Saunders Road
Danger 2: Edmo Yewkay

Doncaster 2:30 WILLIAMHILL.COM - LIVE CASINO GAMES HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 2) (4yo+)

King Jack may go off as favourite but I don't know why, he is not as good as others lining up here and now I've said that he'll probably win. Of course he is receiving weight but I don't think he's good enough. Lothian Falcon is getting on a bit now but is the classiest horse in the field. Always runs well in his first race of the seaon and 7/1 is great odds. Gods Token is another of advancing years but has shown good form in the past over hurdles and the stable is in form. Charlie Crab is a threat provided he gets round but the distance is still a question mark as could be a bit too much of a risk. Mirage Dore and Tartan Snow have previous form together but the latters form has really tailed off whereas the former has improved. Mirage Dore has been off the track for a while but is the model of consistency. Really tricky one, I'll side with Mirage Dore with Lothian Falcon a real danger but the final danger is Charlie Crab. - AR

Selection: Mirage Dore
Danger 1: Lothian Falcon
Danger 2: Charlie Crab

Doncaster 3:00 WILLIAMHILL.COM HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+)

Nicholls sends 3 out here Andreas and Medicinal are e/w chances that need others to fail in order to succeed. I'msingingtheblues is highly regarded by his trainer but it looks like he doesnt go best with ease in the ground. I have similar concerns about I'm So Lucky whos only wins on easy ground have been in awful contests. Doctor David will be fine on any ground but takes a step up in class to compete here and finds himself high in the weights. Might be a step too far here. My final contender is Kilmackilloge, who comes from outside the handicap which will help if conditions deteriorate but this is a strong renewal and surely one will be found too good. - AR

Selection: I'm So Lucky
Danger 1: I'msingingtheblues
Danger 2: Doctor David

Sandown 3:10 4 MILLION TOTESCOOP6 HEROES HANDICAP HURDLE GRADE 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m6f

Amazingly I get to look at a grade race in the Scoop6, and this looks pretty competitive on paper. It is a handicap which makes it difficult but there are a few in here that look on good marks. The one who looks on a very nice mark is Ballydub who was going just about as well as anything else when falling 2 out in a race won by Big Bucks, and he franked the form last weekend. I however will be taking him on here with Otto Des Pictons who is open to plenty of improvement and is coming into this off a decent weight, he has form on soft ground and he looks set to run a big race. The dangers should be Cruchain and Group Captain but both look a shade too high in the handicap. - JB

Selection – Otto Des Pictons
Danger 1 – Cruchain
Danger 2 – Group Captain

Doncaster 3:30 WILLIAMHILL.COM - PLAY BINGO HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+,0-140) 4m

A proper 4 mile slog around Doncaster, which will suit horses who can gallop and jump from fence to fence. Gidam Gidam is a course winner, and has to be feared in this, he is stepping up in trip but he looks suited by it, as he was staying nicely over 3m4 last time. Hello Bud and Naunton Brook both have winning form over the trip, and staying is really important, and neither can be ruled out of this. However I am concentrating on those who look open to plenty of improvement and Jass looks a certain horse to relish this trip. He is relatively lightly raced and he has good recent form. However the one I am siding with is Malko De Beaumont who is still really attractively weighted and should relish this trip. - JB

Selection – Malko De Beaumont
Danger 1 – Jass
Danger 2 – Gidam Gidam

Sandown 3:45 TOTESPORT.COM MASTERS HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+) 3m110y

The final leg of the Scoop 6 this week is this intriguing 3m handicap chase featuring some well known faces. Top weight is Gungadu. He hasn’t shown anywhere near the form of early 2008 when he won back to back handicap races over 3 miles. Harry Skelton takes the ride with his 5 lbs claim helping ease the burden. He disappointed last time at Ascot when only 8th. Way ahead of Gungadu that day was Monkerhostin. The game old boy received 5 lbs from Gungadu that day, but only 1 lbs here. Skelton’s claim effectively puts Monkerhostin top weight by 4 lbs. Very rarely does he turn in a bad race and I would expect him to be there in the mix at the finish. Another who was ahead of Gungadu that day was Eric’s Charm. The mount of A.P McCoy, he ran last week in the Thystes Chase in Ireland where the conditions were awful. A hard race there may have left it’s mark on this one. New Little Bric is the 2nd Nicholls runner. He’s partnered by Ruby Walsh. He has only tried this sort of trip once before and that resulted in him being pulled up. Something Wells is another stepping into the unknown regarding the distance. Will he get the extra half mile? There others that will in preference to him. The novice, Sound Accord has been 3 miles over hurdles but as yet, not over fences. It’s a big ask to throw him in at this level after just 3 runs over the larger obstacles, where he has won just once. The one I like is Can’t Buy Time. He has been a selection on here before when just being out done by Malko De Beaumont in the Tommy Whittle Chase. It was a great effort that day in similar conditions. He is bottom weight for this race and it’s interesting that McIernon takes the ride when McCoy was available. The 7 lbs claim must be the main influence behind the thinking. – VE

Selection: Can’t Buy Time
Danger 1: Monkerhostin
Danger 2: Something Wells


  1. Ellerslie George
  2. Mirage Dore
  3. I'm So Lucky
  4. Otto Des Pictons
  5. Malko De Beaumont
  6. Can’t Buy Time

Friday, 23 January 2009

24th January

Doncaster - 1:40 - 100 Welcome Bonus At skyvegas.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (4yo+,0-135) 2m3f110y

With two withdrawals this morning we are left with a field of 15, and its a very competitive handicap hurdle to start the Scoop6. The horse now carrying top weight is Character Building who still looks to be on a fair hurdles mark and he is massively respected. Charmaine Wood runs in a handicap for the first time and at short odds she is not one to put maximum faith in, especially has her two hurdles wins have been around the undulating course of Towcester. She may not like this galloping course. Hernando Royal is the selection here, he has been running very big races in defeat and already has showed his aptitude to galloping courses, he is good on this soft ground and he is still open to plenty of improvement. The main dangers could come in the shape of Kack Handed and Character Building. JB

Selection: Hernando Royal
Danger 1: Kack Handed
Danger 2: Character Building

Cheltenham - 2:05 - betchronicle.com Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m5f



There are plenty in with decent chances in this 2m5f Chase at Cheltenham. Top weight is the old boy Mister McGoldrick. Wetherby is his favourite place but Cheltenham isn’t far behind. A course and distance winner at the Festival last year, he’s been placed in a Champion Chase. His best years may be behind him, but he’s sure to give backers a decent run for their money. He’s not one for me though. Stan won last time out over course and distance. He was pulled up in the Paddy Power but before and after has wins at Cheltenham. The weight to carry will be the main concern, though he is capable. Pablo Du Charmil is next in the weights, but surely needs shorter. Reveillez has been off the track for the best part of 2 years. He would need to produce something sensational to take this. This trip these days seems a bit on the short side for Turko. Ran in the National last year, when never tried beyond this distance. Should give a good bold run, but others are preferred. Battlecry is a possible. A consistent sort who has won over the trip. The ground is the main concern as all bar one of his wins have been on Good or firmer. Placed on his last 2 runs over C&D. Has place claims again. Private Be steps up in trip notably and was beaten here by Stan last time. Can’t see him threatening here. Moom Over Miami is another trying further, but there’s nothing in his form to indicate he will get it. Akilak won last time when put forward by jbgb007uk. Conditions will suit him no end. The trip is a different story. Never been beyond 21f, the extra half mile may tell. – VE

Selection: Stan
Danger 1: Battlecry
Danger 2: Turko


Doncaster - 2:15 - skypoker.com Handicap Chase (Class 2) (5yo+,0-140) 2m3f

This is a fairly open race but the two that stand out for me are Nacarat who carries more weight than most but is still well handicapped and Corlande at the other end of the weights but at longer odds I fancy Edmo Yewkay who loves this ground, and has won here before over the same distance, real chance. Beggars Cup and Our Jasper have chances but there are some small niggles with them that put me off. Corlande is taken to win with Nacarat set to push him all the way, Edmo Yewkay is the outsider set to mix things up a little. -anu

Selection: Corlande
Danger 1: Nacarat
Danger 2: Edmo Yewkay

Cheltenham - 2:35 - Letheby & Christopher Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Chase) Grade 2 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f110y

The big race of the day and a few prospects will reappear at the festival. Tidal Bay is a powerhouse up the Cheltenham hill but this trip is still a question mark. Nozic is preferred over Star De Mohaison as Ruby has picked the former, apparently because the ground is not in the latters favour. Snoopy Loopy and Ollie Magern are brave old warriors but they are carrying the biggest weights and will probably struggle. Joe Lively loves Cheltenham but isnt well in weights wise, however as a CD winner could be danger. Halcon Genelardais will go off favourite but the trip is too short, the question is, does he have the class to overcome that? I say yes. -anu

Selection: Halcon Genelardais
Danger 1: Tidal Bay
Danger 2: Nozic

Doncaster - 2:50 - Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The River Don) Grade 2 (Class 1) (4yo+) 3m110y

This Novice Hurdle throws up a few possible picks. Forecast favourite is On Raglan Road. Ridden by the champ, he’s never been out of the first two. Saying that he’s never been over 2m4f before so the step up in trip is an uncertainty. Junior is next in the betting. He’s been beaten by On Raglan Road and is another for who the trip is an unknown. Gullible Gordon has a victory over this distance and in these conditions, which are all a big plus. It’s a big step up in class but he could figure. Cape Tribulation handles the ground, but the trip and class are something else. May be out of his depth. Star Lord would have better claims if the ground was firmer. Diablo doesn’t appear to handle the ground so is one to avoid here. Midnight Sail is one who could surprise. His last outing was when beating Fistral Beach, where he ran on strongly, suggesting the step up in trip may suit. - VE

Selection: Midnight Sail
Danger 1: On Raglan Road
Danger 2: Gullible Gordon





Doncaster - 3:25 - Sky Bet Chase Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m

A massive field here is due to go to post but we already have 6 withdrawals, which has made the job slightly easier. Many will be following Big Fella Thanks who has the talent but he does not jump very well, and he looks to need a good deal further than 3 miles, he will be suited by the nature of the course but I think he is very vulnerable here. The selection is Montgermont who I had down to run a big race last Saturday before removing his jockey at the first. He is really nicely handicapped but he is not the most fluent so is not one for the faint hearted. A safer bet could be Alexanderthegreat who has been running really well this season and Venetia Williams knows how to plunder a good size pot with her handicappers. I think this race revolves around jumping, and I hope we see much better from both Big Fella Thanks and Montgermont, with the latter as the selection.JB

Selection: Montgermont
Danger 1: Alexanderthegreat
Danger 2: Big Fella Thanks



Hernando Royal
Stan
Corlande
Halcon Generlardais
Midnight Sail
Montgermont