Saturday, 7 February 2009
February 7th
Race 1: Kempton 2.15
Selection: Ring Bo Ree
Race 2: Lingfield 2.25
Selection: Fantasy Ride
Race 3: Lingfield 3.00
Selection: Limelight
Race 4: Lingfield 3.35
Selection: Ace of Hearts
Race 5: Wolverhampton 3.55
Selection: Harry Up
Race 6: Kempton 4.00
Selection: Pass Me A Dime
Saturday, 31 January 2009
31st January - Review
Race 2: The selection was a non runner.
Race 3: Danger 1 won and Danger 2 came second.
Race 4: The selection came fourth but the winner was a 16/1 shot
Race 5: Danger 1 won.
Race 6: The selection won at 4/1
Friday, 30 January 2009
31st January
We kick off this week with a 9 runner handicap chase in what could be testing conditions. There are 8 of the 9 who have won over this trip and of those, 5 have victories around Wetherby to their name. Top weight is The Whisperer who is making his first run of the year. His 2 wins have come on Good ground and over longer than this trip. Ellerslie George has won his last 2 starts at Wetherby. Sandwiched in between was a run in the Becher Chase where the trip appeared too far. Back again to 20f, he goes on any ground and would be a big chance. The slight dip in the form of Howard Johnson’s string would be my only concern. First Look raced last week and was pulled up. This is his first run at the track having been campaigned mainly at Ayr. His run two starts ago when finishing 11 lengths 6th to Akilak looks decent form given that ones recent Cheltenham performance. The worry remains the PU last time. One place in front of First Look in the Akilak race was Edmo Yewkay. He receives more weight from First Look than that day and loves the ground heavy. Conditions could be in his favour here. Saunders Road won at Cheltenham 2 starts ago under big weight. Last time out in this company he was 4th, but well beaten over a similar trip at Ascot. His jockey takes of a useful 7lbs which will help his cause. Corlande is a decent performer in lesser class. Has been found wanting each time he’s stepped up to this class and the same will happen again. Daldini has ran 4th in this class over shorter distances. There are others with more appeal who have already been mentioned. – VE
Selection: Ellerslie George
Danger 1: Saunders Road
Danger 2: Edmo Yewkay
Doncaster 2:30 WILLIAMHILL.COM - LIVE CASINO GAMES HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 2) (4yo+)
King Jack may go off as favourite but I don't know why, he is not as good as others lining up here and now I've said that he'll probably win. Of course he is receiving weight but I don't think he's good enough. Lothian Falcon is getting on a bit now but is the classiest horse in the field. Always runs well in his first race of the seaon and 7/1 is great odds. Gods Token is another of advancing years but has shown good form in the past over hurdles and the stable is in form. Charlie Crab is a threat provided he gets round but the distance is still a question mark as could be a bit too much of a risk. Mirage Dore and Tartan Snow have previous form together but the latters form has really tailed off whereas the former has improved. Mirage Dore has been off the track for a while but is the model of consistency. Really tricky one, I'll side with Mirage Dore with Lothian Falcon a real danger but the final danger is Charlie Crab. - AR
Selection: Mirage Dore
Danger 1: Lothian Falcon
Danger 2: Charlie Crab
Doncaster 3:00 WILLIAMHILL.COM HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+)
Nicholls sends 3 out here Andreas and Medicinal are e/w chances that need others to fail in order to succeed. I'msingingtheblues is highly regarded by his trainer but it looks like he doesnt go best with ease in the ground. I have similar concerns about I'm So Lucky whos only wins on easy ground have been in awful contests. Doctor David will be fine on any ground but takes a step up in class to compete here and finds himself high in the weights. Might be a step too far here. My final contender is Kilmackilloge, who comes from outside the handicap which will help if conditions deteriorate but this is a strong renewal and surely one will be found too good. - AR
Selection: I'm So Lucky
Danger 1: I'msingingtheblues
Danger 2: Doctor David
Sandown 3:10 4 MILLION TOTESCOOP6 HEROES HANDICAP HURDLE GRADE 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+) 2m6f
Amazingly I get to look at a grade race in the Scoop6, and this looks pretty competitive on paper. It is a handicap which makes it difficult but there are a few in here that look on good marks. The one who looks on a very nice mark is Ballydub who was going just about as well as anything else when falling 2 out in a race won by Big Bucks, and he franked the form last weekend. I however will be taking him on here with Otto Des Pictons who is open to plenty of improvement and is coming into this off a decent weight, he has form on soft ground and he looks set to run a big race. The dangers should be Cruchain and Group Captain but both look a shade too high in the handicap. - JB
Selection – Otto Des Pictons
Danger 1 – Cruchain
Danger 2 – Group Captain
Doncaster 3:30 WILLIAMHILL.COM - PLAY BINGO HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+,0-140) 4m
A proper 4 mile slog around Doncaster, which will suit horses who can gallop and jump from fence to fence. Gidam Gidam is a course winner, and has to be feared in this, he is stepping up in trip but he looks suited by it, as he was staying nicely over 3m4 last time. Hello Bud and Naunton Brook both have winning form over the trip, and staying is really important, and neither can be ruled out of this. However I am concentrating on those who look open to plenty of improvement and Jass looks a certain horse to relish this trip. He is relatively lightly raced and he has good recent form. However the one I am siding with is Malko De Beaumont who is still really attractively weighted and should relish this trip. - JB
Selection – Malko De Beaumont
Danger 1 – Jass
Danger 2 – Gidam Gidam
Sandown 3:45 TOTESPORT.COM MASTERS HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+) 3m110y
The final leg of the Scoop 6 this week is this intriguing 3m handicap chase featuring some well known faces. Top weight is Gungadu. He hasn’t shown anywhere near the form of early 2008 when he won back to back handicap races over 3 miles. Harry Skelton takes the ride with his 5 lbs claim helping ease the burden. He disappointed last time at Ascot when only 8th. Way ahead of Gungadu that day was Monkerhostin. The game old boy received 5 lbs from Gungadu that day, but only 1 lbs here. Skelton’s claim effectively puts Monkerhostin top weight by 4 lbs. Very rarely does he turn in a bad race and I would expect him to be there in the mix at the finish. Another who was ahead of Gungadu that day was Eric’s Charm. The mount of A.P McCoy, he ran last week in the Thystes Chase in Ireland where the conditions were awful. A hard race there may have left it’s mark on this one. New Little Bric is the 2nd Nicholls runner. He’s partnered by Ruby Walsh. He has only tried this sort of trip once before and that resulted in him being pulled up. Something Wells is another stepping into the unknown regarding the distance. Will he get the extra half mile? There others that will in preference to him. The novice, Sound Accord has been 3 miles over hurdles but as yet, not over fences. It’s a big ask to throw him in at this level after just 3 runs over the larger obstacles, where he has won just once. The one I like is Can’t Buy Time. He has been a selection on here before when just being out done by Malko De Beaumont in the Tommy Whittle Chase. It was a great effort that day in similar conditions. He is bottom weight for this race and it’s interesting that McIernon takes the ride when McCoy was available. The 7 lbs claim must be the main influence behind the thinking. – VE
Selection: Can’t Buy Time
Danger 1: Monkerhostin
Danger 2: Something Wells

- Ellerslie George
- Mirage Dore
- I'm So Lucky
- Otto Des Pictons
- Malko De Beaumont
- Can’t Buy Time
Friday, 23 January 2009
24th January
With two withdrawals this morning we are left with a field of 15, and its a very competitive handicap hurdle to start the Scoop6. The horse now carrying top weight is Character Building who still looks to be on a fair hurdles mark and he is massively respected. Charmaine Wood runs in a handicap for the first time and at short odds she is not one to put maximum faith in, especially has her two hurdles wins have been around the undulating course of Towcester. She may not like this galloping course. Hernando Royal is the selection here, he has been running very big races in defeat and already has showed his aptitude to galloping courses, he is good on this soft ground and he is still open to plenty of improvement. The main dangers could come in the shape of Kack Handed and Character Building. JB
Selection: Hernando Royal
Danger 1: Kack Handed
Danger 2: Character Building
Cheltenham - 2:05 - betchronicle.com Trophy Chase (Handicap) Grade 3 (Class 1) (5yo+) 2m5f
There are plenty in with decent chances in this 2m5f Chase at Cheltenham. Top weight is the old boy Mister McGoldrick. Wetherby is his favourite place but Cheltenham isn’t far behind. A course and distance winner at the Festival last year, he’s been placed in a Champion Chase. His best years may be behind him, but he’s sure to give backers a decent run for their money. He’s not one for me though. Stan won last time out over course and distance. He was pulled up in the Paddy Power but before and after has wins at Cheltenham. The weight to carry will be the main concern, though he is capable. Pablo Du Charmil is next in the weights, but surely needs shorter. Reveillez has been off the track for the best part of 2 years. He would need to produce something sensational to take this. This trip these days seems a bit on the short side for Turko. Ran in the National last year, when never tried beyond this distance. Should give a good bold run, but others are preferred. Battlecry is a possible. A consistent sort who has won over the trip. The ground is the main concern as all bar one of his wins have been on Good or firmer. Placed on his last 2 runs over C&D. Has place claims again. Private Be steps up in trip notably and was beaten here by Stan last time. Can’t see him threatening here. Moom Over Miami is another trying further, but there’s nothing in his form to indicate he will get it. Akilak won last time when put forward by jbgb007uk. Conditions will suit him no end. The trip is a different story. Never been beyond 21f, the extra half mile may tell. – VE
Selection: Stan
Danger 1: Battlecry
Danger 2: Turko
Doncaster - 2:15 - skypoker.com Handicap Chase (Class 2) (5yo+,0-140) 2m3f
This is a fairly open race but the two that stand out for me are Nacarat who carries more weight than most but is still well handicapped and Corlande at the other end of the weights but at longer odds I fancy Edmo Yewkay who loves this ground, and has won here before over the same distance, real chance. Beggars Cup and Our Jasper have chances but there are some small niggles with them that put me off. Corlande is taken to win with Nacarat set to push him all the way, Edmo Yewkay is the outsider set to mix things up a little. -anu
Selection: Corlande
Danger 1: Nacarat
Danger 2: Edmo Yewkay
Cheltenham - 2:35 - Letheby & Christopher Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Chase) Grade 2 (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m1f110y
The big race of the day and a few prospects will reappear at the festival. Tidal Bay is a powerhouse up the Cheltenham hill but this trip is still a question mark. Nozic is preferred over Star De Mohaison as Ruby has picked the former, apparently because the ground is not in the latters favour. Snoopy Loopy and Ollie Magern are brave old warriors but they are carrying the biggest weights and will probably struggle. Joe Lively loves Cheltenham but isnt well in weights wise, however as a CD winner could be danger. Halcon Genelardais will go off favourite but the trip is too short, the question is, does he have the class to overcome that? I say yes. -anu
Selection: Halcon Genelardais
Danger 1: Tidal Bay
Danger 2: Nozic
Doncaster - 2:50 - Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The River Don) Grade 2 (Class 1) (4yo+) 3m110y
This Novice Hurdle throws up a few possible picks. Forecast favourite is On Raglan Road. Ridden by the champ, he’s never been out of the first two. Saying that he’s never been over 2m4f before so the step up in trip is an uncertainty. Junior is next in the betting. He’s been beaten by On Raglan Road and is another for who the trip is an unknown. Gullible Gordon has a victory over this distance and in these conditions, which are all a big plus. It’s a big step up in class but he could figure. Cape Tribulation handles the ground, but the trip and class are something else. May be out of his depth. Star Lord would have better claims if the ground was firmer. Diablo doesn’t appear to handle the ground so is one to avoid here. Midnight Sail is one who could surprise. His last outing was when beating Fistral Beach, where he ran on strongly, suggesting the step up in trip may suit. - VE
Selection: Midnight Sail
Danger 1: On Raglan Road
Danger 2: Gullible Gordon
Doncaster - 3:25 - Sky Bet Chase Handicap (Listed Race) (Class 1) (5yo+) 3m
A massive field here is due to go to post but we already have 6 withdrawals, which has made the job slightly easier. Many will be following Big Fella Thanks who has the talent but he does not jump very well, and he looks to need a good deal further than 3 miles, he will be suited by the nature of the course but I think he is very vulnerable here. The selection is Montgermont who I had down to run a big race last Saturday before removing his jockey at the first. He is really nicely handicapped but he is not the most fluent so is not one for the faint hearted. A safer bet could be Alexanderthegreat who has been running really well this season and Venetia Williams knows how to plunder a good size pot with her handicappers. I think this race revolves around jumping, and I hope we see much better from both Big Fella Thanks and Montgermont, with the latter as the selection.JB
Selection: Montgermont
Danger 1: Alexanderthegreat
Danger 2: Big Fella Thanks

Hernando Royal
Stan
Corlande
Halcon Generlardais
Midnight Sail
Montgermont
Monday, 19 January 2009
January 17th - Fallout
Race 1: The Selection won.
Race 2: The Selection was placed in 3rd.
Race 3: The Selection was placed in 2nd.
Race 4: All 3 picks failed to finish.
Race 5: Danger 2 was placed 2nd with the Selection was placed in 4th.
Race 6: Danger 2 won.
Friday, 16 January 2009
January 17th
A strong looking renewal of the Peter March Chase kicks off this weeks Scoop 6. The field is full of decent sorts and looks like a number have chances. Top weight is Cloudy Lane who went off joint favourite for last years Grand National. He has had a couple of runs this term, the best of which was in the Rowland Meyrick at Wetherby when coming 3rd to Nozic, again under top weight. Ground conditions being on the soft side won’t hinder too much and is a previous course and distance winner (4 wins at Haydock) and he could get back to winning ways in this grade. Miko De Beauchene won last years Welsh National and was unlucky when unseating in this time. A winner at Haydock in the past, the track or ground hold no worries. My concern is he needs further than 3 miles these days. Still not without a chance in testing conditions. Dear Villez is the forecast favourite and Tony McCoy takes the ride for Paul Nicholls. He won over this trip in Ireland in soft going and put up a creditable performance in the Hennessy. He had a couple of jumping errors last season in his Novice year that saw him unseating twice. That is the main question mark, has he put the errors behind him? His 2 runs this term suggest yes. I’m unsure. Opera Mundi is the second Nicholl’s runner. Sam Thomas is on board. Seems to have lost his way since winning around Haydock in November 2007. Pulled up in the Sky Bet Chase and Scottish National, his last run was at Cheltenham in November when trailing home 6th having gone off favourite. There will be others ahead of him here too. Montgermont returned in November after 2 years off the track. Has won over this trip in his Novice days and seemed to want further than the 20f on his 2 come back runs. He could be one staying on at the end. Kandjar D’Allier was in the winners enclosure here in November although in a lower grade. He would need to improve to take this. The same goes for Glasker Mill. No wins in a year and pulled last time in the Welsh National. He’s of little appeal here. The old timers Fundamentalist and D’Argent will give each way backers a run for their money. – VE
Selection: Cloudy Lane
Danger 1: Dear Villez
Danger 2: Montgermont
2:05 Connaught Partnerships Handicap Hurdle (Cl3) - AR
Pretty awful race and any of them could win. On form the consistent Tender Falcon has plenty going for him and Show Winner is another in with a good shout but will have to overcome a disastrous Boxing Day performance. I'd put that down as Christmas Blues and there were a lot of unusual performances over that period. The third horse to make the shortlist is Maraafeq, the stable is in form and their seems to be some money behind it, with a claimer on board he could have a shout. Consistency is the best bet so Tender Falcon is the selection, the other two to follow him home.
Selection: Tender Falcon
Danger 1: Show Winner
Danger 2: Maraafeq
2:40 Connaught Compliance Handicap Chase (Cl3) - AR
Another tricky race and I'm going to sound like I'm part of the Williams/Biddick fan club but the stable is in form and this one has a better chance than Maraafeq. My only concern is the claimer on the chasing novice, if there are no mistakes then Pipo De Re is in with a great shot. Gentleman Jimmy will probably need the run, Triggernometry is from my local stable and the word from the Bird is that he is in good form and at healthy odds worth respect. Tarotino may struggle with top weight so my final selection is Kew Jumper, consistently average and should make the places but will rely on others failing to win.
Selection: Triggernometry
Danger 1: Pipo De Re
Danger 2: Kew Jumper
3:10 Connaught Environmental Handicap Hurdle (Cl3) - JB
A 21 runner handicap hurdle over the 2 miles and 6 furlong trip around Wincanton is the next race in the Scoop 6. To say this race is competitive is an understatement, but I am concentrating on those who have winning handicap form. Victorias Groom is top weight here but has been running very well this season, however I do not think the horse can win off this higher mark. At the top of the weights with him is At The Money, and this horse is very interesting for me, as he is only 4lbs higher than his best winning mark and has been running creditably in better races since, including off marks in the 120s. Dangers are likely to come from all around but the two I nominate are Billie Magern and Fantastic Arts, who both look to be on decent marks and can thrive in this big field.
Selection: At The Money
Danger 1: Billie Magern
Danger 2: Fantastic Arts
3:25 1942 Was A Vintage Year Handicap Chase (Cl2) - JB
A mere 18 runners go to post for this handicap chase over 2 miles and 5 furlongs, with Boomshakalaka and Saunders Road likely to head the market. I side with Saunders Road here, who gets into the handicap as bottom weight and is open to a good deal of improvement. Oracle Des Mottes is likely to be well supported and the Nicholls horse looks set to run another big race, however the handicapper looks to be catching up with him. Alright Now M’Lad is a danger with the yard in great form, and Something Wells is lightly enough raced over fences to be open to more improvement. Boomshakalaka is a Henderson horse, so must be feared whilst Howard Johnson has El Vaquero and Bafana Boy, near the bottom of the handicap. However I am taking Mr Flint to make the most of his 7lb claim on Saunders Road and they will take a good deal of beating. One thing to watch out for is overweight though (He has got as low as 9-7 in the last 12 months) but I think he and Mr Hobbs will ensure everything is right for today.
Selection: Saunders Road
Danger 1: Alright Now M'Lad
Danger 2: Something Wells
3:45 Connaught Cup Handicap Chase (Cl3) - VE
The last leg this week is this 10 runner Handicap Chase. Top weight is the Carl Llewellyn trained Hennessy. Made an encouraging return to Chasing earlier this month at Folkestone when winning over 25f. Stolen Moments is another who won last time out. That was over 3 miles on soft ground at Exeter before Christmas. Since going Chasing he has only been out of the front 3 once and that was when taking a fall at Sandown. He does make mistakes in his races so maybe one to avoid. Tora Bora hasn’t tasted success over jumps since 2006 and it’s a big ask to do it on his first jumps start since Feb. Rodrigo Gonzales has yet to win over the jumps. He doesn’t look like he will see out the trip. Double Dizzy has decent efforts around this trip in these conditions. Could be one for the E/W backers. Nicto De Beauchene won last time out over C&D on this ground. Makes mistakes and has been on the deck twice out of 5 runs over jumps. Caution if backing him. Zacharova, if retaining the form of his last run, has a great chance off a low weight. Put 2 poor runs behind him with his win last time. If he last home in these conditions then it could be his. – VE
Selection: Zacharova
Danger 1: Hennessy
Danger 2: Double Dizzy
January 10th Fallout
Race 2: Danger 1 came second
Race 3: Danger 2 won
Race 4: Selection won at 5/1
Race 5: 12/1 shot won, selections nowhere
Race 6: Low class race, the selections were nowhere
Friday, 9 January 2009
January 10th
2:30 BLUE SQUARE SP GUARANTEE HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 2) (4yo+)
Tony McCoy sits out like a sore thumb here and on Money Order we have a worthy favourite. Sure we havent seen him for over a year and his victories have been narrow to say the least the competition is weak here and if it was just a run McCoy would not take the bait. Endless Power is an obvious threat but the form from his last victory. Diamond Frontier is the most likely to either chase home McCoy or touch him out and the other danger is Tartan Snow but not threatening enough to question the favourite.
Selection: Money Order
Danger 1: Diamond Frontier
Danger 2: Tartan Snow
3:00 BLUE SQUARE HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2) (5yo+,0-145)
The last time we covered the Scoop 6 for the blog it was the Tommy Whittle at Haydock and the winner of that race reappears here. Malko De Beaumont was selected as Danger 2 that day but ran out a nice winner in the end. That was over a furlong shorter than this trip but the way he finished the race at Haydock gives me no concerns that he won’t get 25f here. The ground is likely to be soft as at Haydock, which he thrives on. The only slight negative is the increase in weight this time, although doesn’t carry top weight. That privilege goes to Gypsy George. His last run was in the Welsh National over Christmas which was a step into the unknown distance wise. He was pulled up that day but reverts back here to 25f where he has course and distance form. He’s another who won’t be put off by the soft conditions, he should be there at the death. Frankie Figg represents the Howard Johnson yard. He has won over the trip and on soft ground, but a couple of penultimate fence falls in the past makes me question his stamina towards the end of his races. See You There will be hoping to put in a better effort than when last seen pulling up in the London National. Prior to that run he had two victories including taking the scalp of Idle Talk. Has won over 25f on heavy in the past so no problems with the state of the ground for him either. Could figure in the places. Jass hasn’t seen the winners enclosure for well over a year and would need a substantial improvement to take this. His 2 best runs over fences have been over this distance on heavy ground but in lower classes of race. Chopneyev appears out of his depth here and First Look, was beaten by Malko De Beaumont in November over 21f, has only tried 3m once before when well beaten. - VE
Selection: Malko De Beaumont
Danger 2: See You There
3:15 LIVE CASINO GAMES @ WILLIAMHILL.COM HANDICAP (CLASS 4) (4yo+,0-85)
A race of interesting tactics, as only 2 of the runners are likely to want to race prominently from the off and I think they could well have it pretty easy in front. The two are Monkey Glas and Pegasus Again, and if Southandwest does not run (won previous day) they may be able to stretch out of reach from the hold up horses. Monkey Glas has the blinkers on for the first time, which may help him focus and go through with his efforts, he seems to be a thinker, and this is a perfect opportunity for him to make every yard of the running. He will need to shrug Pegasus Again off from the stalls, and get to the rail, but if he does that then he has to be in with a great chance. Pegasus Again has the best draw, and if he gets out with Monkey Glas, he should get the rail sit and take the best route around the course. Of those coming from off the pace I think Southandwest would have a great chance, after winning with something in hand last time out. He may find this race coming too soon and therefore possibly Resplendent Nova could finish best of those held up.
Selection: Monkey Glas
Danger 1: Pegasus Again
Danger 2: Resplendent Nova
3:30 BLUE SQUARE MOBILE HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 3) (4yo+,0-125)
Again the favourite, Princess Flame, has to be up there based on her victory last time out and its McCoy on board again and I fancy a small risk on Los Nadis with Flinty taking 7lbs of his back but I think he'll need a bit more than that to win. Instead it is Prosecco, weighted lightest in no doubt a certain bog who shall be my selection, consistency is something I like at Ayr as well as a victory over the course so that is the selection.
Selection: Prosecco
Danger 1: Princess Flame
Danger 2: Los Nadis
3:45 WILLIAM HILL TELEBETTING SALE - 0800 44 40 40 HANDICAP (CLASS 6) (4yo+,0-54)
A competitive handicap over 7 furlongs, which high drawn horses will be at a good advantage, and as such it is hard to look beyond those drawn 9 to 14. The best drawn is a possible improver in First In Show who does not have much to find on his recent handicap efforts, he now has the blinkers on which could provide much improvement. He has to beat a couple of useful sorts here though and I am siding with Lady Aspen, who ran a great race at this course last time out. She was up against a much better field than this and to get as close as she did is a massive credit. She races reasonably close to the pace, and as such may get a decent passage through the race. Straight Face could be the one to take them along early, and from this good draw, with a low weight and course form he is feared.
This is a tough handicap of little quality, which I am putting Lady Aspen forward as the most likely winner.
Selection: Lady Aspen
Danger 1: First In Show
Danger 2: Straight Face
4:00 AYR NOVICES' HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 4) (4yo+,0-100)
Thursday, 8 January 2009
December 20th - Fallout
Race 1: Danger 1 won, the Selection was 2nd and Danger 2 was 3rd.
Race 2: Danger 1 was a non-runner, so it went on the fave. All 3 picks out of the frame.
Race 3: Danger 1 was the best in 5th.
Race 4: Danger 2 was the best in 4th.
Race 5: Danger 2 won with the Selection in 3rd.
Race 6: The Selection won. Danger 1 was 4th.
Friday, 19 December 2008
20th December
An ultra competitive renewal of The Long Walk Hurdle kicks off this weeks Scoop6 quest. There could be quite a few punters out after this first leg as there are plenty in with a chance. Nicky Henderson’s pair of runners head the market with the impressive recent Cheltenham winner Punchestowns the slight forecast favourite at time of writing. He carried top weight that day but here is on level weights although the trip is half a mile further. It is a step into the unknown whether he will get it as he’s never raced beyond 2m 5f before. If he lasts home in the softish conditions he has a chance. The other Henderson horse is Duc De Regniere. He won last time in The Long Distance Hurdle when facing 4 others who re-oppose here. That was over 3 miles and the extra furlong should be achievable. Going chasing didn’t suit him but back over hurdles he seems a different beast. No ground concerns for him either and he should go close with AP McCoy in the saddle. Behind Duc De Regniere at Newbury were Mobaasher, Pettifour, Blazing Bailey and Hills Of Aran. Mobaasher and Pettifour have been having some ding dong battles. Pettifour got his head in front in terrific finish at Wetherby in early November then Mobaasher, receiving 4lbs was 1 ½ lengths in front of Pettifour in The Long Distance Hurdle. They will be hard to split again. 4th in that Long Distance Hurdle was Blazing Bailey. He has shown some great things in the past when beating Inglis Drever but has also put in some below par efforts. It depends which Blazing Bailey turns up. If back to his best he could trouble the places. Last years winner Lough Derg is back again. I backed him last year and his make all win was one of my favourite races of last season. I can’t see him having the same run of the race and last season’s attempt at the Order Of Merit may have had a detrimental effect on his future performances. Others of interest are Elusive Dream who Ruby Walsh has jumped off to ride Mobaasher, and recent Aintree winner Serabad. Both have stamina questions to be answered. – VE
Selection: Duc De Regniere
Danger 1: Punchestowns
Danger 2: Mobaasher
2.35 Haydock - JOSEPH HELER CHEESE HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 2) 2m4f
A typical handicap hurdle is in store for the Scoop6, which means that the race is going to be very competitive. Tazbar is the best horse in the race but coming here on seasonal reappearance and having to shoulder the burden of top weight will make this very tough for him. His run on the flat did not go to plan and it showed that he is not a straightforward individual. Award Winner is on good form, having won on both starts this season; I however think he has to be taken on here on his handicap debut. The one I am siding with is Procas De Thaix who comes from the Nicky Henderson yard, he is another on handicap debut but he has been off the track for 269 days and should have improved for having a summer of development. He ran in some classy races as a novice hurdler and as a bumper horse and he has always shown enough to suggest that he can be competitive off a mark of 137. The dangers are likely to be Hibiki and Middleton Dene, as both are fit and have had a recent effort, both have good handicap form and both look fairly treated.
Selection – Procas De Thaix
Danger 1 – Hibiki
Danger 2 – Middleton Dene
2.45 Ascot – THE LADBROKE (A HANDICAP HURDLE) (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) 2miles
The Ladbroke looks an absolute minefield but three horses in the race stand out for me and they are Noble Alan, Group Captain and Squadron. All three are at big prices in the market but all three have massive potential and are all likely to improve for more racing. Squadron has been busy this year including running Crack Away Jack close at Chepstow. He then went on and won at Ascot before running creditably behind Numide and Aigle D’or in the Greatwood Hurdle. He likes a test and he is always willing to pull more out for his jockey. Group Captain is another interesting handicapper who was unlucky last time out when 3rd in a big field handicap. That day if he had jumped the last fluently then he could well have turned his 2 length defeat into victory. He should come on for that run and as such has to be worth a look in the market. Noble Alan is a horse I hold in high regard and he is lightly raced and progressive, and as such looks the type to take a big field handicap at some point.
Selection – Squadron
Danger 1 – Group Captain
Danger 2 – Noble Alan
Newcastle 2:55 WBX.com Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3 y o+) 2m
A tricky little handicap hurdle to work out here. Joint top weights are Zen Candy and Riquez Dancer. Zen Candy won his last race at long odds on over this trip in soft ground so conditions under foot won’t hamper his chances. His jockey claims a useful 5lbs to ease the burden. Riquez Dancer ran last week at Doncaster when finishing 3rd in testing conditions. If this race hasn’t come around too quick then he has every chance. His jockey claims 3lbs. He is a course and distance winner. Tartan Snow has been campaigned over further distances than this, with limited success. Made a promising effort last time over 2m 2f and could go close. Pagan Starprincess is one who could figure also. Dropped back in trip to 2 miles, she has performed in the conditions in the past. Nelson Du Ronceray has been off the track a while. The David Johnson owned gelding won his last start over this distance. He has a fairly decent weight to carry, helper by Ryan Mania’s 5lbs claim. If fully fit then he has a real chance. Realism has place claims if reproducing his course and distance win from February. – VE
Selection: Nelson Du Ronceray
Danger 1: Zen Candy
Danger 2: Riquez Dancer
Haydock 3:10 Sodexo Presteige Tommy Whittle Handicap Chase (Class 2) (4 yo+) 3m
An interesting looking Tommy Whittle chase where Jonjo O’Neill saddles Can’t Buy Time who is looking for his 4th win in a row. He is a horse I’ve followed this season and has put in some decent performances. He looks like he gets 3 miles well with a bit more still available if needed. He will need it here if he is to get the 4 timer as he is up against some decent performers. He is a stone better off than top weight D’Argent, who has won over this distance but who needs further than this these days. Another crack at the National may be on his agenda this season and this will be a step on the road, but won’t trouble the places. Idle Talk is another with Aintree possibilities. A classy horse that had a spell of getting rid of his jockey’s. His jumping problems may have been sorted as he managed to get round Aintree this year with the jockey still attached. He is highly weighted and has not won for nearly 3 years. Place at best. Wild Cane Ridge looks a frustrating sort. He’s put in some decent efforts at times, yet also some forgettable ones. If having one of those better days then he could make his 16-1 forecast starting price look massive. Malko De Beaumont could figure if he can last home. He has won of just short of 3 miles but never won beyond that. The ground conditions shouldn’t hamper him and he is lightly weighted. – VE
Selection: Can’t Buy Time
Danger 1: Wild Cane Ridge
Danger 2: Malko De Beaumont
3.25 Newcastle - WBX.COM NORTHUMBERLAND CHASE (A HANDICAP CHASE) 2m4f
This race is interesting if only because of its competitive nature and most of the 12 runners can be given chances, but the one for me is Akilak. This horse ran so well on seasonal reappearance and loves soft ground, he looks primed to run a big race and the Howard Johnson yard are one of the best in the north. The dangers look to be Just For Men, who runs off bottom-weight whilst Montgermont should run a big race off top-weight. This is a very tough race and many others are entitled to be battling out the finish.
Selection – Akilak
Danger 1 – Montgermont
Danger 2 – Just For Men
December 13th - Fallout
Race 1: Abandoned.
Race 2: Danger 2 was 2nd.
Race 3: Abandoned.
Race 4: The selection was 3rd and Danger 2 was 4th.
Race 5: Abandoned.
Race 6: The selection was 2nd with Dangers 1 & 2 in 4th & 5th.
Friday, 12 December 2008
13th December
Cheltenham 1:55 BOYLECASINO.COM NOVICES' CHASE (CLASS 2) - 2m5f
Danger 1: Slash And Burn
Danger 2: Buck The Legend
Doncaster 2:15 SG HANDICAP HURDLE (CLASS 4) - 2m3f110y
A nice and easy race here with 19 set to take part in a tough handicap hurdle, most of which look exposed and unlikely to improve in the future. The one exception to that is Puy D’Arnac who only has had 2 runs in the sphere, winning his debut before falling next time out. He has improved with racing on the flat and his handicap mark is based on last season’s efforts, which suggest that he should improve for the switch back to hurdling. He would like a bit of cut in the ground, which should come with overnight rain, and as such he is the selection. The dangers may come from Important Business and Smugglers Bay, the former has been running in much better races than this and has shown glimpses of running up to his handicap mark whilst the latter has potential and ran well to a point last time before blundering a hurdle and weakening fast. This race is wide open and not many of the field can be ruled out with much confidence. - JB
Selection: Puy D’Arnac
Danger 2: Smugglers Bay
Cheltenham 2:30 BOYLESPORTS.COM GOLD CUP (HANDICAP CHASE) GRADE 3 (CLASS 1) (4yo+)
Imperial Commander obviously must be respected but my selection is going to be Fingeronthepulse who put in an average show last time out against Noland who has since gone on to G1 glory. The main danger is Silverburn who ended all chances 3 out when Imperial Commander beat him so convincely, the weight difference is much reduced now so he surely has all the chances to be closer, don't think he'll get past though.
Selection: Fingeronthepulse
Danger 1: Imperial Commander
Danger 2: Silverburn
Doncaster 2:45 Betdaq The Betting Exchange Handicap Chase (Class 2) (4 y o+) 3m
This interesting 3 mile Handicap Chase throws up a few useful sorts. Top weight is the Paul Nicholls trained Leading Attraction. He is fairly inexperienced with just 5 lifetime starts under rules. He has never been out of the places either in those races. He was beaten on his first run this season at Wincanton on soft ground but his better results have been on better ground which he should get here. He’s won over this trip and Sam Thomas takes the ride. In with a shout. Standin Obligation was once a very smart Novice hurdler and chaser but has lost his way over the last 2 years. He’s having his first start of the season and if he can re-capture some of the old sparkle then he could place. The distance or ground won’t be a problem to him. Another Promise is another who offered much but didn’t really deliver. Injury kept him off the track for a while and his first run this term ended with him being pulled up. There are better prospects in this race. One such horse is Ice Tea who won his last start at Wetherby. Another who has won over the distance and with no ground worries either he could make the frame. King Harald is a course and distance winner who in his time has won some nice races. Maybe age is now catching up with him now. He’s the oldest in the race and was pulled up last time. He may want further these days. 2 others in with every chance are Apollo Creed and Brave Rebellion. The former won races between 2 and 3 miles over the summer, although not in the class. The latter is unknown over this trip. All his wins have been at 2 and 2 ½ miles. He has a stone in hand over the top weight and if he lasts home he will have a good chance. – VE
Selection: Leading Attraction
Danger 1: Brave Rebellion
Danger 2: Apollo Creed
Cheltenham 3:05 BOYLESPORTS.COM INTERNATIONAL (HURDLE) GRADE 2 (CLASS 1) (4yo+)
What a great race. 5 in with chances, the promising Binocular who failed at last seasons festival. Chelts is an interesting course, the horse has to like it but surely he can put those demons to rest. Katchit loves the course but hasn't shown past form this season, cannot possibly be discounted though! Crack Away Jack and Chomba Womba to fill the final spot, difficult decision but will side with Chomba on account of Nicky Henderson's fine form.
Selection: Binocular
Danger 1: Katchit
Danger 2: Chomba Womba
Doncaster 3:20 Betdaq In Running At 1% Handicap Hurdle (Class 2) (3 y o+) 2m 110yd
12 runners due to go to post in this tricky handicap hurdle. Every horse in the field has won at this distance some none can really be discounted on stamina issues. Top weight is Amazing King. He is looking for a 3rd victory in the last 4 weeks following an AW success on the flat and last time out at Musselburgh. Jockey James Reveley claims 3lbs which will help a little. At the other end of the weights is Duke Of Touraine. Having only his 3rd run over hurdles this 3 year old has won 2 and been 2nd in the other. The yard has been under the weather but if all clear then should run a big race. Stable mate Riquez Dancer is another in with a chance. He once beat Kalahari King in a novice hurdle although in the next race he finished 2nd to one who re-opposes here, Lazy Darren. Lazy Darren ran in the Haydock procession won by Binocular the other week. He and Riquez Dancer should be close to one another again. Gringo has had placed efforts on his last 2 starts. They were however at a lower class and when previously upped in class, he’s been found wanting. Los Nadis could have place claims. Ryan Mania takes off 7lbs finished runner up to Binocular in the Haydock race. Beaten last time by Amazing King when giving weight away, he is now receiving it. – VE
Selection: Duke Of Touraine
Danger 1: Los Nadis
Danger 2: Amazing King
Scoop 3 selections:
- Puy D’Arnac
- Leading Attraction
- Duke Of Touraine
Tuesday, 9 December 2008
December 6th - Fallout
Race 1: The selection was 2nd and Danger 2 was 4th.
Race 2: Danger 1 won beating the selection into 2nd.
Race 3: Danger 1 won.
Race 4: Danger 1 won with the selection in 4th.
Race 5: Danger 2 was 2nd, the selection was 3rd and Danger 1 was 4th.
Race 6: The selection was 2nd.
Friday, 5 December 2008
6th December
The Scoop6 starts off with a fiendishly looking handicap hurdle to be run over 2 mile 6 furlongs on soft ground. I think you need a horse with plenty of stamina and proven form on the soft ground. Races like these are normally won by a horse who is improving and have potential to go on to bigger things. Therefore I am ruling out all horses over the age of 6, as there are plenty of young fresh horses who are open to more improvement. Talenti is the selection, the horse is lightly raced and whilst there is some stamina doubts the horse ran nicely over 2 1/2 miles last season. The most important point is that the horse has run its best races on soft or slower ground and looks to be on a fair mark. Earth Crystal looks a very interesting runner who won on hurdles debut at Ascot last season on soft ground and Henderson's yard are in great form. The other main danger could be King Jack, another horse who has very good form on ground that is soft or slower.
Selection = Talenti
Danger 1 = Earth Crystal
Danger 2 = King Jack
2:00 Sandown - BETINTERNET.COM HENRY VIII NOVICES' CHASE GRADE 2 (2 miles)
This is an odd race for the Scoop6 as it looks really uncompetitive at first glances with the impressive Free World lining up against only 4 rivals. The race is between three horses for me, Free World is the odds on favourite whilst Araldur and Cheating Chance are open to more improvement. Free World has to be the selection as the Nicholls yard have said that he is the equal to Tatenen at home, and that horse has looked untouchable in his Novice Chases. Free World has not raced on ground this soft in the UK but he should have no problems handling the ground and if jumping round he will be in with a shout at the finish. Araldur has been making haste with his chasing mark, and then beat Chapoturgeon very nicely in a novice chase last time, which could show that he is improving. Further improvement will be necessary to beat Free World here. Cheating Chance has a similar profile to Araldur and having won a handicap he went and took a novice chase, this looks much tougher.
Selection - Free World
Danger 1 - Araldur
Danger 2 - Cheating Chance
2:50 Wetherby - BLUE SQUARE HANDICAP CHASE (2 miles)
This is a very trappy handicap chase around Wetherby, in which many hold claims, the main ones being Polar Gunner, Wee Forbees and Pen Gwen. The selection is Wee Forbees whose third to Snoopy Loopy is working out rather well, and he loves ground which is soft. He is also lightly raced and has stamina if this turns into a slog. Polar Gunner is the veteran of the field at the age of 11, he loves it when the ground is testing and should run very well off his current mark. Pen Gwen is not a soft ground specialist but would hold claims if producing his best form and the likes of Euro American and Miss Pross cannot be ignored either.
Selection - Wee Forbees
Danger 1 - Polar Gunner
Danger 2 - Pen Gwen
3:05 Sandown - BEST ODDS GUARANTEED AT BETINTERNET.COM HANDICAP HURDLE (2 miles)
This is another difficult race to unravel with many last time out winners in the field. The race revolves around two points, the first is how good will Blue Shark be after his long lay off, if he is as good as he was then he will take a good deal of beating here. The second is how good are Tchico Polos and Sunnyhillboy, who are from Nicholls and O'Neill respectively. I am siding with Hernando Royal who keeps running well in defeat, he loves the soft ground and now with a swing in the weights with Sunnyhillboy and his jockeys claim he will be carrying a featherweight in this handicap. Tchico Polos won his novice hurdle very well at Wincanton when beating the highly touted Ravello Bay, he is open to plenty of improvement and could run well. He is on handicap debut so we do not know how good he is in comparison to his mark. Sunnyhillboy won a cracker last time out at Cheltenham when defying a 10lb hike in the handicap. He will have to continue that sharp progression to score once again and has to be a main danger to the selection.
Selection - Hernando Royal
Danger 1 - Sunnyhillboy
Danger 2 - Tchico Polos
3:20 Wetherby - BLUE SQUARE POKER HANDICAP CHASE (3 miles 1 furlong)
Another trappy handicap in the Scoop 6 this time over a longer trip which will increase the need for horses to go on the soft ground and stay well. One such horse is Malko De Beaumont who has won in bottomless ground over these staying trips. He is obviously in good heart and will take a lot of beating in this race. In opposition we have some useful performers with the likes of Morgan Be and Just For Men likely to be prominent in the betting. The former of those two is very good on this sort of ground and is unexposed whilst the latter may struggle to stay this distance but does look to be coming back to his best.
Selection - Malko De Beaumont
Danger 1 - Morgan Be
Danger 2 - Just For Men
3:35 Sandown - BETINTERNET.COM LONDON NATIONAL CHASE (3 miles 5 furlong)
The Scoop 6 finishes with a marathon, and a competitive one at that. The one I like is low in the weights and looks primed to run a big race. L'Aventure is the horse in question and ran an absolute beauty in the Southern National staying on really well as is her way. She gets outpaced in races and takes plenty of cajoling to get into a race but she looks certain to be running on up the hill at the finish, she should be fitter for this and could prove a bit of a shock winner. Hello Bud has an obvious chance but is rising up the handicap for the last two wins. He will be short in the market and this could be tougher for the horse. The main dangers could well be Leading Authority and Sporting Rebel, the former ran nicely in a good Wincanton listed handicap last time whilst the latter if proving his stamina should go well on seasonal reappearance.
Selection - L'Aventure
Danger 1 - Leading Authority
Danger 2 - Sporting Rebel
gl all - JB
Friday, 28 November 2008
29th November
Danger 1: Inglis Drever
13 are due to go to post in this 3 mile Handicap Chase and 3 of the field faced each other just over 2 weeks ago here at Newcastle in an almost identical race to this. On that day Jethro Tull fared best finishing second, 2 ½ lengths ahead of Stravaigin. Day Du Roy was a further 22+ lengths back in 6th. Jethro Tull received 10lbs from Stravaigin that day and now 8lbs for this race. His first two outings this season, after a lengthy lay off, both resulted in being pulled up, but since then he has been placed twice over course and distance. Stravaigin has James Reveley on board claiming a useful 3lbs. He has a distance win in Novice company to his name and the ground shouldn’t be a problem. Can he reverse form with Jethro Tull? Day Du Roy is only 4lbs lighter than Jethro Tull. I can’t see him troubling the judge. Top weight is carried by Ngong Hills who has been victorious in his last 2 starts. They have come over 1 furlong further and shorter than the trip here. The unknown factor for him is the ground. It is currently Good to Soft. The majority of his runs have been on Good ground and his wins have been on Firm and Good to Firm. His only effort on Soft/Heavy ended in being pulled up. If it stays dry and the ground isn’t too much on the soft side then he has a big chance. The weight will also be key. Of the rest Festival King (if sorting out his inconsistencies) and Alto Stratus could trouble the places. - VE
Selection: Jethro Tull
Danger 1: Ngong Hills
Danger 2: Stravaigin
Newbury 2:40 Hennessy Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) (Class 1)
Well the Hennessy Gold Cup is always a competitive handicap chase and this year it is no different with 17 set to run in this grade 3 race. My antepost selection has been Big Bucks, who I know is thought to be a future Gold Cup horse, he is only 5 years old and must have come on for another summer on his back. He has beaten the likes of Albertas Run when he was stepped up to 3 miles 1 furlong, that race was very impressive and it clearly shows that the further they go the better Big Bucks should be. I am not a fan of Albertas Run, he never really convinces me in his races but he holds Air Force One through a line off Roll Along, so has to come into contention. Air Force One looks to be harshly treated for his return run this year, going up in the handicap despite having the run of the race and still not proving good enough, I have to take him on. At the bottom of the handicap is Island Flyer who was held on the line by another Nicholls horse last time in Cornish Sett, and this race looks to be even tougher, the light weight could make him hard to chase down if getting a lead. Character Building is also towards the bottom of the handicap and looks to be returning to form after a full season out, we know he likes it around here and therefore he has to be high on the shortlist. However the two dangers I am putting forward are Slim Pickings, who looks primed for this race and is a decent EW price and Dear Villez who stayed really well last time out in a 3 miles handicap chase in Ireland. - JB
Selection: Big Bucks
Danger 1: Slim Pickings
Danger 2: Dear Villez
Newcastle 3:00 WBX.com Rehearsal Chase (Listed Handicap) (4 yo+) 3m
This race has been won in recent times by such horses as See More Business, Sir Rembrandt, One Knight and Neptune Collonges. So who join them next? There are some interesting runners in this one. Last year’s winner Harmony Brig lines up again, although he has done nothing of note since taking this and there are others preferred to him. Battlecry is the forecast favourite. He was 3rd in the Royal & SunAlliance Chase at Cheltenham to Albertas Run (who goes in the Hennessey along with Air Force One). Roll Along and Joe Lively have come out of that race and won nicely this season, so hopefully Battlecry will improve on his 2nd place a fortnight ago. The trip should be ideal for him and his trainer is in fine form. The main opposition could come in the form of Finger Onthe Pulse, although I have my doubts as to whether he is suited by this 3 mile trip. He has only tried a 3 mile+ trip once and came last to Air Force One at Punchestown. Anything on the soft side will test his stamina further. L’Antartique is having his first run of the season and is one that goes well fresh. Only once in 4 seasons has he failed to win on his first run. Last year’s Paddy Power Chase winner has a great chance if lasting the distance. Aces Four is from the same stable and is another having his first run of the season. He saddles top weight here. A course and distance winner 2 year’s ago, he could be in the frame if back to his best. One Sniff could have place claims too. He has only had 5 lifetime runs, winning 3 of them. Can he cope with a big step up in class is the question? - VE
Selection: Battlecry
Danger 1: L’Antartique
Danger 2: One Sniff
3:15 NEWBURY: totesport.com Handicap Chase (Class 2)
This handicap chase revolves around the possible improvement in form of the seasonal debutantes Billyvoddan, New Little Bric and Randwick Roar. The former is a nine year old who looks exposed at this trip and this seems a handicapping ploy for another attempt at the Grand National, he is lightly raced but will need to be at his very best to win this off top weight. Randwick Roar is an interesting runner, he was very progressive in January and February before having a 9 months break, he is relatively lightly raced for a 9 year old and should improve more this season, however this may prove too tough. New Little Bric is a younger horse and whilst disappointing in the past he definitely has the ability to win this. He has had the customary wind op and looks likely to progress from this mark. Classic Fiddle is short in the market but open to much more improvement and she jumps right at the fences, which will not suit around here. The other main danger is Yes Sir, a horse who is fit and ran a massive race in the Paddy Power before falling 4 out. If he is over that mistake he should make this a real test and looks set to make a massive run of it.
Selection – New Little Bric
Danger 1 – Yes Sir
Danger 2 – Classic Fiddle
Newbury 3:45 totescoop6 Intermediate Hurdle Race (Ltd Handicap)
Another competitive hurdle race for the Scoop6 punters to unravel and Squadron seems to be the obvious selection. His form this season is brilliant in regards to this field, having chased Crack Away Jack home on seasonal reappearance before winning nicely at Aintree and then finishing a good 5th in the Greatwood Hurdle. The worry with Squadron is that he is becoming very high in the handicap; therefore I feel others could provide a shock win. I like Hot Diamond, a horse who runs really nicely without getting his head in front, and this looks tougher for him and therefore he is taken on. The selection therefore is Khyber Kim, who was very smart on the flat and is very lightly raced over hurdles, his form behind Pierrot Lunaire looks really nice in this heat and he must run a big race carrying top weight. He could turn into a Champion Hurdle horse if he proves his well being here. The other danger looks to be the very useful bumper horse Helens Vision. - JB
Selection: Khyber Kim
Danger 1: Squadron
Danger 2: Helens Vision
Wednesday, 26 November 2008
November 22nd - Fallout
Race 1: Dangers 1 & 2 came 3rd & 4th.
Race 2: Danger 1 was 2nd.
Race 3: Danger 2 faired best coming 4th.
Race 4: The Selection won.
Race 5: Danger 1 won with Danger 2 in 2nd.
Race 6: Danger 1 was 3rd.
Friday, 21 November 2008
22nd November
Selection: Quest For Success
Danger 1: Majuro
Danger 2: Beat The Bell
Lingfield 2:40 E B F PLAY BINGO AT LADBROKES.COM FILLIES' HANDICAP (CLASS 4)
Selection: Izzibizzi
Danger 1: Secret Night
Danger 2: Spring Goddess
Haydock 2:45 TIMEFORM BETFAIR RACING CLUB HANDICAP CHASE (CLASS 2)
A nice big pot here and a competitive handicap as a result. At this stage in the season it is worth following the trainers in form so that immediately brings onto the shortlist Mister Quasimodo, Naunton Brook and Osako D'airy but it is Glasker Mill who catches my eye after a promising first run. Rambling Minster is another out after a promising outing and he will get the trip which is going to be key. Glasker Hill pips Rambling Minster slightly with Nicholls' horse an obvious danger - AR.
Selection: Glasker Mill
Danger 1: Rambling Minster
Danger 2: Osako D'airy
Lingfield 3:20 BET AT LADBROKES ON 0800 777 888 CHURCHILL STAKES (LISTED RACE)
Mr Aviator is the C&D winner and will no doubt fill a lot of selections but Yahrab makes interesting viewing as it's Spencer on a front runner. Now this kid has his faults but he can judge a pace really well and could surprise here. Re Barolo, ever consistent, could go one better than his last two outings but we're after recent winners for the AW and so my final danger is the classy Bronze Cannon who performed brilliantly earlier in the season and, if improved, could put them all to the sword here. If you definitely want to win you'd have most of these across all your lines - AR.
Selection: Yahrab
Danger 1: Mr Aviator
Danger 2: Bronze Cannon
If we’ve got 4 out of 4 so far then I apologise in advance! This 15 runner handicap hurdle has been selected to scupper the dreams of many. Lets try and make it 5 out of 5. Top weight is Left Hand Drive. In his time he has won Class 3 & 4 Novice Hurdles, although his last run over the smaller obstacles was nearly 18 months ago. He has been unsuccessful at this distance on all previous attempts and can’t see him figuring. Fourth in the weights is the forecast favourite, House Of Bourbon. He has never tried this distance before although has been 3m a few times, with 2 runner’s up finishes at Cork over the summer. There are others who could do better than this one. One of those is Millards Lad. Another one reverting to hurdles after going chasing, he is the mount of Jamie Moore. He had 2 promising runs over hurdles in the summer before unseating in the infamous whip stealing race at Cheltenham last week. Acosta won last time out for the first time. It was over this distance but on soft ground. There is nothing else in his form to suggest he is suited by good ground so will discount him. If it chucks it down between now and race time it could be a different matter. Heathcliff has only 6 lifetime runs to his name. His last race was his best by far, although in Class 5 company. He returns after a lengthy layoff and gets just over a stone from the top weight plus the jockey taking off 7lbs. Pearly Star is another who would need it softer to figure here along with Low Delta. - VE
Selection: Millards Lad
Danger 1: Heathcliff
Danger 2: House Of Bourbon
Lingfield 3:50 BETTER PRICES, BIGGER WINS AT LADBROKES.COM GOLDEN ROSE STAKES (LISTED RACE) (CLASS 1) (3yo+) 6f
Well it could all come down to this! How many million is it? The field is likely to be reduced to 11 as War Officer is a doubt so that helps a little. We’ll start with Duff with Kevin Manning over from Ireland for this his one and only ride of the day. A listed winner over 7f & 8f, his last 2 outings have been in Group 1 & 2 company. The trip appears on the short side but he could be capable of taking this. Bonus ran only 3 days ago and was beaten in a Class 3. Not shown the form of last season so far this year. Ceremonial Jade is an ultra consistent AW performer. He has only finished twice outside of the first 3 from 13 starts on the sand. Has a 2nd place finish over course and distance in a Listed contest from earlier in the year and has won his last 2 starts, both at 6f. Chief Editor has mainly been campaigned at 5f until recently. His last 3 runs have been over 6f resulting in 1 victory and 1 place. The placed effort was in Listed class. Should be in the frame. Maltese Falcon hasn’t won since taking this last year. His last start was very disappointing, but came after a layoff so he may come on for the run. Personally there are others in front of him. One of which is Prohibit. Owned by Khalid Abdullah, he returned to winning ways last time out on the AW over 6f. He finished 3rd behind Sir Gerry earlier in the season over this distance and should be in the first 4. Swiss Franc returns after a layoff for his first run on AW. His previous 2 runs were at Listed level, one of which saw him finish 3rd in front of Prohibit. In his 2 year old season he contested some pretty good races, finishing 2nd to Henrythenavigator in the Coventry Stakes, 3rd to Winker Watson in the July Stakes and 3rd to Sir Gerry in the Gimcrack Stakes. If he can reproduce some of that 2 year old form then he takes this. Big if though!! - VE
Selection: Ceremonial Jade
Danger 1: Swiss Franc
Danger 2: Chief Editor

- Quest For Success
- Izzibizzi
- Glasker Mill
- Yahrab
- Millards Lad
- Ceremonial Jade
Sunday, 16 November 2008
November 15th Fallout
Race 1: Joe Lively, Danger 1, won with the Selection back in 3rd, tiring up the hill. The Novice chaser continues his good form, definitely one to watch this season.
Race 2: Barbers Shop, Danger 1, came in second behind the impressive Imperial Commander. The selection, Silverburn, blundered badly when asked for an effort.
Race 3: Ice Tea, Danger 1, kept on gamely for the win. The selection was disappointing and Danger 2 was a non runner.
Race 4: Danger 2 was the best performer coming in third. Fair Along mentioned as a threat, conditions worked in his favour the the horse found plenty in terms of stamina and just made it home.
Race 5: The selection and firm favourite, Knockavilla, was going along well when making a novicy error, the risk didnt pay off for me and certainly a lot of other punters who would have had in their selection. The winner was mentioned and discarded but won it very impressively under a confident ride.
Race 6: Danger 1 was doing the best but Busker Royal fell at the second last when having every chance.
Friday, 14 November 2008
15th November
Grand National winner Comply or Die makes his reappearance here but I expect, like most Pipe runners, he will need the run. Beat The Boys is chosen as the selection as Twiston-Davies is in great form and in the testing conditions a light weight is a plus. Joe Lively, from my local stable, is best of the rest and was a great novice last season. He could be good enough here but Tizzard isn't in amazing form at the moment so I'll watch him this time out. Opera Mundi has to be respected purely because of the Walsh/Nicholls partnership. Came out all guns blazing when fresh last term but Beat The Boys is chosen to continue his novice form at this higher grade - AR.
Selection: Beat The Boys
Danger 1: Joe Lively
Danger 2: Opera Mundi
Cheltenham 2:35 Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) (4yo+) 2m4f
The former Mackeson Gold Cup, as some will know it, is the next race up. In the last 10 running’s the favourite has landed the spoils 5 times. The likely favourite at time of writing is Silverburn. The full brother to Denman, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Ruby Walsh who has had a well publicised breathing operation over the summer. He seems relatively lightly weighted on 10st11lbs, receiving just over a stone from the top weight, and has won over the distance. There is a lot in his favour providing he shows no ill effects from his surgery. Another well thought of is Barbers Shop. Owned by The Queen, he won his last race of last season after narrowly being beaten at the festival on the previous start. He beat Silverburn in a bumper in 2006, then finished behind him in a race last year won by Joe Lively. The new Henderson/Geraghty combination is in fine form this season and the trip and ground shouldn’t be a problem. Carries 1lbs less than Silverburn. The lightly weighted Bible Lord has been the market mover during the week. Only confirmed a run on Thursday, he is now a general 10-1 shot. He carries joint bottom weight of 10st5lbs and is another that shouldn’t have ground or trip worries. His last run was here at Cheltenham when he was beaten into 3rd place by another of the runners in this race, Ouzbeck. Ouzbeck has won 4 out of 5 chases he has contested and was a course and distance winner last time out. Most of his wins and decent runs have been on good ground which is a concern given the projected soft conditions. Imperial Commander has not been seen for nearly a year since trailing home last of 4 in a 25f race. Prior to that he won at this meeting in novice company over course and distance and should he return to that form he has a chance. Others to take note of are Stan and Maljimar. Stan was victorious in Grade 2 company last season and has had one run so far this season. That was a 2nd place finish over a trip on the short side. Maljimar won a Grade 3 last season before unseating in his final start. Ground conditions shouldn’t bother this course and distance winner and with a fairly light weight he could make the frame. I am torn over which of the first two picks gets the nod. Knowing my luck it will be the other that takes it! - VE
Selection: Silverburn
Danger 1: Barbers Shop
Danger 2: Maljimar
Wetherby 2:55 £2.5million totescoop6 Handicap Chase (Class 3) (4yo+,0-130)
A very open handicap chase for horses rated 0 to 130, with the likes of Killard Point and Ice Tea likely to be close to the head of the market. Leading Man is the best horse in the race but he is top weight and from a stable which is on a dreadful run, he has to be opposed. The opposition should come in the form of former course winners Shrewd Investor, Super Road Train and Laertes. Shrewd Investor ran a fair race last time out until weakening 3 out; he looks too high in the handicap and therefore has to be taken on. Super Road Train has some fair form this season, but is one that will be staying on at the finish as he wants further than this. Laertes was very poor on seasonal reappearance when finishing well behind Super Road Train, however he is running on better ground here and is well below his hurdles mark. He can go with the early pace and has stamina in abundance, therefore he is the selection. His main dangers are likely to come from Ice Tea and Rakalackey - JB.
Selection: Laertes
Danger 1: Ice Tea
Danger 2: Rakalackey
The forth leg is this tricky handicap hurdle over 3 miles and a furlong. Fair Along who has been campaigned over both hurdles and fences has another crack at the smaller obstacles, but over an unknown trip for him. It is 3f further than he has ever been before and he carries a fair weight. The 7lbs removed by the claiming jockey will help. Will his class carry him through? Doubts for me. Pride Of Dulcote represents the Nicholls/Walsh team. He won last time out over 3 miles but in nothing like the class of this race. That was his only career victory and has been prone to a mistake or two with Walsh on board. Valerius is the mount of AP McCoy. This Irish raider has a win over this distance and a 2nd place finish behind another runner in this race last time out. On that occasion he was beaten by Diablo. Both were on the same weight that day and both are matched again here. Everything points to Diablo being in front of Valerius again too. Powerstation won’t be inconvenienced by the soft going but carrying top weight may be too much even with a 5lbs claim removed. The Sliotar from the David Pipe yard has wins on soft but not at this level. Has won over 25f but Cheltenham on soft is very different from Southwell on good to firm. On a breeding point this race features a half brother to Azamour in the shape of Ardalan. He has won over 3 miles but again the class was not this standard. May find a few too good. Sullumo has form on soft ground to back up his claims here. He has never been out of the first 3 so far in his career and has a good shout of continuing that run. – VE
Selection: Diablo
Danger 1: Valerius
Danger 2: Sullumo
Knockavilla is the favourite but could be anything. Unexposed and therefore a big risk but I fancy him to win here. Another unexposed horse is Edas but of the two Kockavilla has shown enough previously to be the selection. My dangers will come from Ela Re, who has had the benefit of a run and should enjoy conditions, European Dream or Smoothly Does It from the Jim Best yard. Overall a wide open race, I could bash on about all of them but luck will need to come into play, many in with chances but I'll side with Knockavilla with Ela Re and Smoothly Does It in the mix - AR.
Selection: Knockavilla
Danger 1: Ela Re
Danger 2: Smoothly Does It
Cheltenham 3:45 Racing UK Novices' Handicap Hurdle (Class 3) (3yo+,0-125)
Selection: Prince Du Beury
Danger 1: Busker Royal
Danger 2: Jocheski
- Beat The Boys
- Silverburn
- Laertes
- Diablo
- Knockavilla
- Prince Du Beury
Wednesday, 12 November 2008
November 8th - Fallout
Race 1: Dangers 1 & 2 finished 3rd & 4th.
Race 2: The Selection wins.
Race 3: Danger 2 finished best in 6th.
Race 4: Danger 1 finished best in 6th.
Race 5: Dangers 1 & 2 finished 2nd & 3rd.
Race 6: Danger 2 wins.


